The MoPR Blog

Five months ago we introduced the MoPR 500, an “index” of mobility industry stocks. We selected companies across a broad swath of the mobility industry, and “buying” one share of each, we assembled a list of stocks we could purchase for $500; hence the MoPR 500. We were inspired to create this index by forecasts of the stock market’s impending doom. Certainly a lot of what was forecasted as played out. But five months later, how are our mobility stocks doing?

We began at the close of market October 3, 2008 with an index value of $500.49. At Friday’s market close (March 6, 2009) the MoPR 500 was valued at $358.82, a loss of 28.31 percent.

For some context, at the close of the market on October 3, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was valued at $10,325.38. On March 6 the DJIA was valued at $6,626.94, or a loss of 35.82 percent. As we watched the ups and mostly downs of the market these past five months, we observed that our mobility index usually though modestly outperformed the DJIA.

Of our 27 mobility stocks, 26 went down in value. Standing alone was Broadcom (NASDAQ: BCRM). On October 3, a share of Broadcom was worth $16.63, and last Friday it closed at $16.97. Only a 2.04 percent gain, but in this volatile market, who wouldn’t take that? For the most part, Broadcom has traded consistently over $16 per share over the past five months. Perhaps part of the stock’s appeal is that Broadcom recently introduced multimedia chipset technology for mobile phones.

The next four best performing stocks in the top of the of MoPR 500 are:

• Sybase (NYSE: SY), purchased for $28.76 and trading last at $26.48 for a loss of 7.93 percent.
• Syniverse (NYSE: SVR), purchased for $16.11 and trading last at $14.14 for a loss of 12.23 percent.
• Verizon (NYSE: VZ), purchased for $31.24 and trading last at $27.28 for a loss of 12.68 percent.
• Neustar (NYSE: NSR), purchased for $18.83 and trading last at $15.63 for a loss of 16.99 percent.

It’s sad when three of the best five performers have double digit losses, but these losses are about half the average loss for the index and about a third of the loss of the DJIA.

Four of the five worst performing stocks comprising the bottom of the MoPR 500 cost about $3.00 per share. At such a low initial value, every cent lost makes the stock drop more percentage-wise. The sole exception was Clearwire, purchased for $9.92 per share. Clearwire is in the midst of a much-watched consumer WiMax service roll out.

The five worst performing stocks of the MoPR 500 are:

• Powerwave (NASDAQ: PWAV), purchased for $3.32 and trading last at $0.25 for a loss of 92.50 percent.
• Nortel Networks (NYSE: NT), purchased for $2.08 and trading last at $0.32 for a loss of 84.62 percent.
• UTStarcom (NASDAQ: UTSI), purchased for $2.88 and trading last at $0.70 for a loss of 75.69 percent.
• Clearwire (NASDAQ: CLWR), purchased for $9.92 and trading last at $2.82 for a loss of 71.57 percent.
• Alcatel Lucent (NYSE: ALU), purchased for $3.54 and trading last at $1.16 for a loss of 67.23 percent.

More information about the individual holdings can be found on our Stockalicious and Herdstreet portfolio pages, as well as our MoPR 500 Index page.

Photo courtesy of: See El Photo.

Mobile entertainment has reached a new level: TiVo access from your smartphone.

RIM and TiVo announced recently their partnership to produce customized TiVo services to the BlackBerry wireless platform.

Can you imagine TiVo for your phone?  Well, not yet.

For now, the service is only providing mobile access to your video content- meaning you can research which shows are coming up or schedule recordings on the go. The partnership eventually hopes to develop software applications that will revolutionize mobile access to video content. Meaning? Your BlackBerry and your TiVo will become close friends, essentially communicating to one another, and turning your BlackBerry into your wireless TiVo remote.

This is the first of many steps that will eventually bring us mobile video-on-demand straight to our phones. If we can already link the two to set up recordings and program shows, doesn’t that only mean that we are getting closer streaming TiVo recordings straight to the BlackBerry?

If all goes off without a hitch, I see this as an instant success- the wireless remote portion of it at least. The idea of being able to amend your TV line-up on-the-go is perfect for TiVo customers.  Just found out that the season premiere of House is on tonight?  Worried about forgetting?  No problem.  Simply pick up your BlackBerry and schedule away.  There really isn’t any arguing that this is a useful tool for BlackBerry and Tivo users.  However, I’m more curious about the future of their partnership is going.  If in fact they do eventually deliver TiVo programs straight to your smartphone, will people watch them?

I’ve mentioned in previous posts that I think lounging on the couch and watching your favorite recorded show on an actual television is far superior to being crouched over a computer screen, and now, even a mobile phone.  No computer or mobile can compare to the viewing experience of your own living room.  But perhaps we are straying more and more from this idea?

In a recent national survey of over 2,000 teenagers from Harris Interactive and CTIA, a majority (52 percent) of teens agree that the cell phone has become the new form of entertainment. And when asked what should be included in the future generation of cell phones? One of the main additions teens wanted to see was a video player.

So does this mean we will be seeing more people glued to their tiny cell phone screens, headphones in and oblivious to the outside world?

I have to ask the question again:  What ever happened to watching television on…well…an actual television? Would you watch an entire recorded program on your cell phone?  And worse, have I become (gasp) outdated? Let us know where you stand.

These last few weeks have certainly been crazy on the stock market. The only stock that seemed to do well the last two weeks was Campbell Soup (NYSE: CPB). It made us wonder how mobility stocks would fare as compared to the rest of the market. So we’re trying an experiment.

We looked at some representative companies across the wide mobility spectrum — from wireless to Wi-Fi, from mobile entertainment to network infrastructure — and we put together a portfolio buying a single shares of as many of these mobility stocks as we could purchase for $500. So yes, the “500″ in the name means dollars, not the number of stocks in our index.

On October 3, 2008 the “MoPR 500 Stock Index” was valued at $500.49. How’s it doing today? See how our mobility stock index is performing by visiting the MoPR 500 Index page here on TheMoPRBlog. You can get detailed information about all the stocks her at our MoPR 500 index pages on Herdstreet and Stockalicious.